Crude Oil Inventories page 2

Key events:         Eurozone – CPI (YoY) (Feb)    Eurozone – ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting      USA – Initial Jobless Claims The economic data that came out in recent days gave us some nice surprises and investors are now trying to figure out what that means in terms of Fed policy. Quotes are pricing in an eventual rate hike above 5% in the U.S. and around 4% in Europe, with traders in the debt markets no longer expecting a rate cut in 2023.

Key events:         USA – Crude Oil Inventories European markets had a mixed session yesterday, tempered by some uncertainty ahead of scheduled comments from Fed Chairman Powell, who was expected to take a slightly different, more hawkish tone in light of Friday's US jobs report.

Key events:       Australia – CPI (QoQ) (Q4) Canada – BoC Monetary Policy Report      Canada – BoC Interest Rate Decision USA – Crude Oil Inventories Canada – BOC Press Conference      The S&P 500 fluctuated around the 4,000 mark, with no major moves up or down, as investors disagreed on mixed earnings reports and mixed economic data.

Key events:      

Key events:       Australia – Retail Sales (MoM) (Nov) USA – Crude Oil Inventories   Yesterday's speech by Fed chief Jerome Powell at the Stockholm forum gave no hints about the regulator's plans as he did not directly address economic or monetary policy issues. Investors are now waiting for the key event of the week - the release of the U.S. consumer inflation data for December, which the consensus forecast suggests slowed to 6.5% y/y from 7.1% y/y.

Key events:       USA – Initial Jobless Claims USA – Crude Oil Inventories Yesterday we could see quite weak activity in the financial markets as traders continue to celebrate Christmas and wait for a new year. And today markets are definitely feeling the holiday trade: light news flow combined with low liquidity led to uneven but ultimately insignificant movements. It looks very much like we are now just drifting into 2023, which is when things will pick up quickly again.

Key events:       Canada – Core CPI (MoM) (Nov)   USA – CB Consumer Confidence (Dec) USA – Existing Home Sales (Nov) USA – Crude Oil Inventories  

Key events: Canada – BoC Interest Rate Decision   USA – Crude Oil Inventories The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is worried about various problems, thereby sparing our local central banks from this excitement. The immediate concern at the BIS is that central banks will have to conduct anti-crisis measures in markets suffering from rising interest rates, which will diminish the effect of efforts to curb inflation, leading to shrinking monetary liquidity and debt portfolios.

Key events: UK – Composite PMI    UK – Manufacturing PMI    UK – Services PMI    USA – Building Permits   USA – Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Oct) USA – Initial Jobless Claims USA – New Home Sales (Oct) USA – Crude Oil Inventories USA – FOMC Meeting Minutes    

Key events: Canada – Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) USA – FOMC Member Bullard Speaks      USA – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock