Fed's Rhetoric
Key events: Eurozone -ECB's Lane Speaks UK - BoE Gov Bailey Speaks USA - Fed Chair Powell Speaks USA - FOMC Member Williams Speaks On Tuesday, Wall Street's primary indices embarked on an upward trajectory after a somewhat turbulent start to the session. The decline in US Treasury yields supported mega-cap growth stocks, while investors eagerly anticipated further statements from Federal Reserve officials to gauge the direction of interest rates.
Key events: Australia- RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov) Eurozone - ECB's De Guindos Speaks Eurozone - ECB McCaul Speaks USA - FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks USA - Fed Waller Speaks Canada - BoC Deputy Gov Kozicki Speaks USA - FOMC Member Williams Speaks On Monday, Wall Street's primary indices made modest gains as investors prepared for insights from various policymakers later in the week, shedding light on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts in the coming year.
Key events: UK - CPI (YoY) (Aug) USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - FOMC Economic Projections USA - FOMC Statement USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision USA - FOMC Press Conference During Tuesday's evening trading, US stock futures remained in a narrow range, following a negative session for major benchmark averages as bond yields continued to rise in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's imminent interest rate decision.
Key events: Eurozone - ECB McCaul Speaks Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks US stocks are declining as the global growth forecast continues to worsen due to weak global PMI readings. The risk of a severe economic downturn is higher for Europe compared to the US, which could maintain support for the dollar in the short term.
Key events: Japan - BoJ Press Conference Eurozone - CPI (YoY) (May) USA - Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun) USA - Fed Waller Speaks On Thursday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached their highest levels in 14 months, propelled by positive economic data that suggested the US Federal Reserve is approaching the conclusion of its aggressive interest-rate hike campaign. This news delighted investors, leading to a surge in the stock market.
Key events: USA – EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook This week, investors have a lot of economic data to consider, including the upcoming release of March's consumer price index and producer price index on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Based on these reports, it will become clearer whether the Fed will continue raising interest rates or halt its campaign. Although most investors expect the Fed to continue tightening its monetary policy, the possibility of a pause should not be dismissed.
Key events: UK – BoE MPC Treasury Committee Hearings Eurozone – EU Leaders Summit USA – Initial Jobless Claims Yesterday we could see another day of record highs for the FTSE100, as European markets again outperformed US markets, which bounced back.
Key events: US – Martin Luther King, Jr. Day UK – BoE Gov Bailey Speaks The recently released CPI is prompting investors to question the Fed's plans to raise the overnight rate above 5%. The market doesn't seem to care, and after this data coincides with the forecast, yields are falling across the curve. Thus, 2-year Treasury yields have fallen to their lowest level since October, with room to fall substantially.