Chinese economy

In recent decades, China's economic ascent has been nothing short of extraordinary. What was once a struggling third-world economy has blossomed into the world's second-largest, following closely behind the United States. Simultaneously, China has secured its place as the foremost global buyer of vital commodities like crude oil and copper. These profound shifts have irrevocably positioned the Chinese economy as an indispensable focal point for traders and investors across the globe.

Key events:  New Zealand - Business NZ PMI (Sep) China - CPI (MoM) (Sep)  China - CPI (YoY) (Sep) UK - BoE Gov Bailey Speaks USA - Member Harker Speaks Eurozone - ECB President Lagarde Speaks European markets experienced another lackluster session, drifting into negative territory following the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which, like the Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers earlier in the week, came in slightly hotter than anticipated, prompting a notable increase in yields.

Key events: Australia - RBA Interest Rate Decision (Aug) UK - S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI (Jul)   USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Jun) On Monday, Wall Street and global stocks showed minimal changes, remaining relatively stable. However, oil prices experienced some gains, and the dollar remained mostly steady. Traders were focused on upcoming corporate earnings, central bank meetings, and an important employment report scheduled for this week.

Key events: UK - S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI USA - S&P Global US Services PMI (Jul) On Friday, the Dow managed to secure a victory, achieving its 10th consecutive weekly gain and extending its longest winning streak since 2017. The positive performance was driven by gains in defensive sectors of the market, particularly utilities. Traders were cautious ahead of the upcoming quarterly results from major tech companies.

Key events:      USA - Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)     USA - Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)               On Monday, the Dow closed higher, with technology and financial sectors leading the way. Investors were eagerly anticipating quarterly results from major Wall Street banks and corporations later in the week. However, the gains in the broader market were somewhat limited by a stumble in the telecom sector.

Key events: USA - Juneteenth Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks Eurozone - ECB's Schnabel Speaks The S&P 500 closed lower on Friday due to the influence of market heavyweights like Microsoft, following comments from two Federal Reserve officials that dampened optimism regarding the central bank's imminent completion of aggressive interest rate hikes.

Key events:         Eurozone – ECB Economic Bulletin      UK – BOE Inflation Letter     USA – GDP (QoQ) (Q4) USA – Initial Jobless Claims U.S. stock indices closed yesterday's trading with growth due to strengthening sectors of technology, finance, and consumer services as concerns about the banking crisis in the U.S. weakened. Shares of the leading financial institutions rose from 0.1 percent to 0.9 percent.

Key events:         USA – Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Feb) USA – Crude Oil Inventories On Tuesday, March 28, the world stock indices were trading without a single trend. In Japan and Hong Kong trading ended on the rise, while Chinese indices closed in a slight minus. European indices were adding within 0.5% at the start of trading. The futures on the S&P 500 shows near-zero dynamics.

The past year has brought many worries to investors. All three major stock market indices - the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq - fell hard. The bond market hasn't been left out either if you look at the Bloomberg AGG index. Overall, 2022 is a dismal episode for the major stock and bond indices. Lingering COVID problems, unrelenting inflation, and Fed rate hikes have done their dark work. In 2023, many of the problems are certainly not going anywhere.

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