Weekly Market Analysis page 52

Key events: UK – Manufacturing PMI (Oct)   USA – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Oct)   USA – JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)   New Zealand – Employment Change (QoQ) (Q3) Despite the complete absence of any fundamental reasons for the rapid growth, the markets are behaving very positively. The level of…

Key events: Eurozone - CPI (YoY) (Oct)   The economy does not stand still, and the figures of more than three weeks ago do not reflect the current situation. Time, it should be said, has generally flattened lately, and what was going on a few weeks ago may well be considered "old times." For…

  Key events: USA - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Sep) Canada - GDP (MoM) (Aug) USA - Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep)   The U.S. stock market fluctuated after data showed the U.S. economy grew in the third quarter after two quarters of declining output. The Dow Jones rose 305 points, or 1 percent,…

Key events: Eurozone - Deposit Facility Rate (Oct) Eurozone - ECB Marginal Lending Facility   Eurozone - ECB Monetary Policy Statement      Eurozone - ECB Interest Rate Decision (Oct)   USA - Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) USA - GDP (QoQ) (Q3)   USA - Initial Jobless Claims Eurozone - ECB…

Key events: USA - New Home Sales (Sep)   Canada - BoC Monetary Policy Report      Canada - BoC Interest Rate Decision   USA - Crude Oil Inventories   Canada - BOC Press Conference     U.S. stock indices rose 1.1-2.3% amid the start of the earnings season. The IEA announced a global energy crisis…

Key events: USA - CB Consumer Confidence (Oct)   Decreasing liquidity levels in the treasury market are beginning to worry the U.S. Treasury Department. Back on October 14, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen announced the possible start of redemption of some of its old debt obligations. The news, as we…

Key events: New Zealand - Labor Day UK - Composite PMI    UK - Manufacturing PMI    UK - Services PMI   Financial conditions have tightened over the past few weeks, but have not reached restrictive levels, which means the Fed has a lot of work to do. A good indicator of current financial conditions…

Key events: Eurozone - EU Leaders Summit Canada - Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)   British Prime Minister Liz Truss announced her resignation on the 45th day of her premiership. The announcement followed a meeting between the prime minister and Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the 1922 Committee, which…

Key events: Eurozone - EU Leaders Summit USA - Initial Jobless Claims USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct) USA - Existing Home Sales (Sep)     A Fed rate hike to levels above 4% will have a negative impact on the construction sector, real estate prices, and ultimately aggregate demand.…

Key events: Eurozone - CPI (YoY) (Sep) USA - Building Permits (Sep)   Canada - Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)   USA - Crude Oil Inventories If mistakes by central banks lead to high interest rates and recession, real chaos is created by the government. This is the case in Britain when it comes to the tug-…

Key events: Eurozone - ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) US - Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) Eurozone - ECB's Schnabel Speaks The US earnings season will begin amid fears that the Fed's aggressive rate hike campaign could send the economy into recession. Investors will get an update on the state of…

Key events: Eurozone - ECB's De Guindos Speaks Canada - BoC Business Outlook Survey Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks US - Federal Budget Balance Canada - BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks The fourth quarter earnings season of a tough year for stocks is here, while the S&P 500 Index lost 25…