Reserve Bank of Australia

Key events: USA - JOLTS Job Openings (Dec) USA - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks USA - FOMC Member Daly Speaks US stocks ended lower on Monday but pared earlier losses after President Donald Trump announced a temporary halt to planned tariffs on Mexico, easing fears of an escalating global trade war. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 161 points (0.4%), while the S&P 500 dropped 0.9%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.3%.

Key events: USA - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Dec) USA - Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Dec) USA - Chicago PMI (Jan) The S&P 500 ended Thursday on a positive note, although gains remained limited due to a pullback in Microsoft following its latest earnings report, which indicated slower cloud growth.

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Key events: Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks The US stock market faced significant volatility on Friday, with the S&P 500 erasing its 2025 gains following a robust jobs report that stoked fresh inflation fears. This development reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt a cautious approach to interest rate cuts this year.

Key events: UK - GDP (YoY) (Q3) UK - GDP (QoQ) (Q3) USA - CB Consumer Confidence (Dec) US stocks surged on Friday, wrapping up the week on a positive note after two sluggish sessions, as a cooler-than-expected inflation report and dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about future interest rate hikes.

Key events: USA - Core CPI (MoM) (Nov) USA - CPI (YoY) (Nov) Canada - BoC Interest Rate Decision USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - 10-Year Note Auction The S&P 500 marked its second consecutive day of losses as the tech sector continued to struggle, overshadowing a strong performance by Alphabet. This comes as investors brace for key inflation data, which could shape expectations for future Federal Reserve actions.

Key events: Australia - RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) The S&P 500 experienced a downturn on Monday as technology stocks, led by Nvidia, came under pressure just ahead of significant inflation data set for release this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 240 points, or 0.5%, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite also declined by 0.6%.

Key events: USA - Initial Jobless Claims The S&P 500 and Nasdaq continued their upward momentum on Wednesday, achieving record-high closes for the third consecutive session. Gains in the technology sector primarily drove this rally, as market participants interpreted Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks as signaling a cautious but stable approach to monetary policy. Powell refrained from suggesting any imminent risk to a potential December rate cut, keeping investors optimistic.

Key events: Australia - RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov) USA - US Presidential Election USA - S&P Global Services PMI (Oct) USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct) USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Oct) USA - 10-Year Note Auction As the week kicked off, US markets took a cautious stance, with the S&P 500 ending Monday in the red. Investors are bracing for two major events: the presidential election on Tuesday and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision.

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