Key events:         Eurozone – CPI (YoY) (Feb) Yesterday's ECB decision was crucial as it gave the first glimpse of what bank stress means for monetary policy. And it meant nothing special – good news for the markets. The ECB decided not to blow up the banking problems and announced a 50bp rate hike during yesterday's decision, pointing to high inflation. The opening sentence of ECB head Christine Lagarde's speech stated that the bank has been forecasting "too high inflation for too long."

Key events:         USA – Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jan) USA – New Home Sales (Jan) The latest GDP data from the U.S. showed that the U.S. economy grew 2.7% in Q4, not 2.9% as analysts had anticipated. Softer economic growth might have helped ease inflation and softened the Fed's hand. That didn't happen, however, as the GDP Price Index, another measure of inflation that was released along with the GDP data, showed that inflation fell in Q4, but fell much less than expected, fully reflecting the CPI and PPI data released last week.

Key events:         New Zealand – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision New Zealand – RBNZ Rate Statement      New Zealand – RBNZ Press Conference      USA – FOMC Meeting Minutes   First of all, there are enough reasons for optimism in the market, and each of them is quite convincing. China is lifting the quarantine measures imposed because of the coronavirus. This leads to improvements in supply chains and reduces pro-inflation risks.

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Key events:       Australia – Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)    Canada – GDP (MoM) (Nov) USA – CB Consumer Confidence (Jan)   New Zealand – Employment Change (QoQ) (Q4)   Central banks will be in focus this week with meetings of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of England (BoE), each expected to keep raising rates.

Key events:       Australia – CPI (QoQ) (Q4) Canada – BoC Monetary Policy Report      Canada – BoC Interest Rate Decision USA – Crude Oil Inventories Canada – BOC Press Conference      The S&P 500 fluctuated around the 4,000 mark, with no major moves up or down, as investors disagreed on mixed earnings reports and mixed economic data.

Fighting global inflation, now at its highest point in decades, has become a number one priority for major central banks around the world. Monetary policy measures that include raising rates are not yet having the desired effect – but it will take time. Nevertheless, there are serious concerns that even such all-powerful institutions as the U.S. Federal Reserve are "running out of ammunition," and there are fewer and fewer opportunities to influence the situation. The problem is that to support monetary policy the Fed needs to liquidate a giant overhang of U.S.

Key events:       UK – Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Oct)   UK – Claimant Count Change (Nov) UK – BoE Gov Bailey Speaks      USA – Core CPI (MoM) (Nov)   USA – CPI (YoY) (Nov)   USA – CPI (MoM) (Nov)  

Key events:       Eurozone – ECB's Supervisory Board Member Jochnick Speaks      UK – NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker USA – Federal Budget Balance (Nov) Canada – BoC Gov Macklem Speaks