forecast

Is a US recession imminent in 2025? As global markets face growing uncertainty, the potential for an economic downturn has become a pressing concern for investors. While economists remain divided on the exact timing and scale, key economic indicators suggest that we may be on the verge of challenging times. By understanding these indicators and how they impact various markets - stocks, forex, and commodities - you can better navigate the turbulence ahead and make more informed investment decisions.

Key events:       USA – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)   USA – JOLTs Job Openings (Nov)   USA – FOMC Meeting Minutes The classic year-end reviews here and there reminded us of the exceptional nature of the past year: the Russian aggression in Ukraine, the energy and food price shock, serious problems in the labor market, inflation that exceeded the central banks' target rates several times, which led to a tightening of monetary policy on the "whatever it takes" principle, etc.