Goldman Sachs

Key events: UK - CPI (YoY) (Dec) Eurozone -CPI (YoY) (Dec) USA - Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) USA - Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) The Dow concluded the trading session with a decline on Tuesday, as investors processed a flurry of earnings reports and a surge in Treasury yields following remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who played down the urgency for rapid rate cuts.

Key events: Eurozone - ECB's Enria Speaks Eurozone - ECB Supervisory Board Member Tuominen Speaks UK - BoE Deputy Governor Woods Speaks UK - BoE MPC Member Pill USA - FOMC Member Harker Speaks USA - FOMC Member Harker Speaks Markets are on edge as Israel makes preparations to deploy troops into Gaza, raising concerns that the conflict with Hamas might spill over into neighboring regions. Iran, in particular, has issued warnings of a potential regional escalation if attacks on Palestinians persist.

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Key events:         USA – Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) Yesterday, the luxury sector drove a positive session in European markets, resulting in new record highs for the CAC 40 and modest gains for the DAX and FTSE 100. On the day, this optimism drove US equity markets higher, with the Nasdaq 100 leading the way, and the S&P 500 posting its best close in two months. Interestingly, there was no significant decline in US bond yields.

Key events:         UK – Construction PMI (Feb) Canada – Ivey PMI (Feb) Despite the Fed's best efforts, the labor market remains overheated as initial jobless claims fell by 2,000 (n/a) to 190,000 and U.S. service sector business activity remains elevated. In the context of fighting inflation, this threatens to lead to a tightening of monetary policy and, consequently, a worsening of economic conditions.

Key events: Spain - Spanish CPI (YoY) (Aug)